Every week, we sift through NFL props searching for ways to add some Benjamin’s to the wallet. Even if you don’t bet, or are in a state that doesn’t allow it, there is still value in learning what players and teams are set up to smash, and those to fade.
Please note, props are odds from DraftKings Sportsbook.
2020 Record: 8-6
D.K. Metcalf over 68.5 receiving yards @ -134
D.K. Metcalf’s receiving lines so far in 2020: 4-95-1, 4-92-1, 4-110-1, 4-106-0, and 6-93-2. Metcalf and his 99.2 yards per game have been a dominant force through five games. A savory matchup with Arizona poses no threat to slow the ever-ascending Metcalf down.
PlayerProfiler projects Metcalf to recieve coverage from Dre Kirkpatrick, the No. 113 graded corner in the league. Even if Metcalf draws attention from Patrick Peterson, there is nothing to worry about. Outside receiver’s Terry McLaurin and Robby Anderson fried the Cardinals for 7-125-1 and 8-99-0, respectively. With a healthy 54.5 point game total, we will see Seattle move the ball through the air and Metcalf soar towards the century mark yet again.
Keenan Allen over 5.5 receptions @ -155
Even at -155, we are all over Keenan Allen.
In his three full games with Justin Herbert slinging the rock Allen has recorded 7, 13, and 8 receptions. More impressive than Allen’s receptions is his gigantic 30.9% target share, good for No. 3 in the league. What does that target share look like? How about 13.7 targets per game from Herbert. Allen draws a cake matchup in Tre Herndon, PlayerProfiler‘s No. 81 corner, and overall Jacksonville’s No. 32 ranked pass defense in DVOA. Allen is set to melt the pathetic Jacksonville secondary all afternoon.
Will Fuller over 69.5 receiving yards @ -112
I know what you’re thinking: Jaire Alexander is a clamp.
PlayerProfiler‘s No. 7 graded corner has been lights out in 2020, but so has Will Fuller. Erase his hamstring-related goose egg in Week 2 versus Baltimore and Fuller has tallied games of 6-123-1, 4-58-1, 6-108-1, 5-54-1, and 8-112-0. We know Fuller has box score-stuffing upside, and we saw it again last week on his 53-yard, fourth quarter bomb from Deshaun Watson. With the game total set at 57 points, Week 7’s highest total, Fuller and the Texan’s will be in a shootout versus the Packers and the stars are aligned for Fuller to smash 69.5 yards.