Editor’s Note 1: Torn ACL now confirmed for RB Lamar Miller. Remove him from your lists. RB Duke Johnson moves up to RB28 in a corresponding move. (RB Damarea Crockett earns a bump as well, up to RB68.) The Texans will likely sign or trade for another runner before the season starts.

     Editor’s Note 2: QB Andrew Luck retires. WR T.Y. Hilton slips down to WR26, WR Devin Funchess falls to WR72, WR Parris Campbell slides to WR77 (which still may be generous), TE Eric Ebron is down to TE23, and TE Jack Doyle ticks up to TE26. On the running back side: RB Marlon Mack slips to RB25 and RB Nyheim Hines has climbed to RB39. QB Jacoby Brissett moves up to QB28, and can be streamed in spots.

Round 1: Picks 1 through 12

Christian McCaffrey (CAR) RB1
Alvin Kamara (NO) RB2
Saquon Barkley (NYG) RB3
DeAndre Hopkins (HOU) WR1
Davante Adams (GB) WR2
Odell Beckham Jr. (CLE) WR3
Ezekiel Elliott (DAL) RB4
Michael Thomas (NO) WR4
JuJu Smith-Schuster (PIT) WR5
Tyreek Hill (KC) WR6
David Johnson (ARI) RB5
Julio Jones (ATL) WR7

     Nothing earth-shattering here, right? Entering drafts, you want a top-3 selection. You want to target one of the top three backs, where you’re basically splitting hairs. Top-4 makes sense, too, assuming Elliott signs. (My guess is he gets paid right before the season starts, in the “eleventh hour” or something.) Then, we’re gobbling up all the wideouts. Hill sneaks into the Top 12 after walking away with no punishment from the league, returning to the NFL’s most explosive offense.

Round 2: Picks 13 Through 24

James Conner (PIT) RB6
Mike Evans (TB) WR8
Travis Kelce (KC) TE1
Dalvin Cook (MIN) RB7
Joe Mixon (CIN) RB8
Keenan Allen (LAC) WR9
Antonio Brown (OAK) WR10
Le’Veon Bell (NYJ) RB9
Todd Gurley (LAR) RB10
Aaron Jones (GB) RB11
Damien Williams (KC) RB12
Nick Chubb (CLE) RB13

     The TE1 makes an appearance here. I thought Kelce was a first-round selection prior to the Hill news, which effectively lowers Kelce’s ceiling, if only slightly. The other observation is the abundance of running backs in this tier. These are your bell cows. Zero RB” is always the name of the game but walking away with two elite runners at this point makes a lot of sense, too. The receiver depth this year is exploitable, which you will soon see in the early to middle rounds.

Round 3: Picks 25 through 36

Amari Cooper (DAL) WR11
Kerryon Johnson (DET) RB14
Julian Edelman (NE) WR12
Josh Jacobs (OAK) RB15
Chris Carson (SEA) RB16
T.Y. Hilton (IND) WR13
Stefon Diggs (MIN) WR14
Adam Thielen (MIN) WR15
Brandin Cooks (LAR) WR16
George Kittle (SF) TE2
Marlon Mack (IND) RB17
Devonta Freeman (ATL) RB18

     Johnson is going to carry the load in Detroit, but just lost his starting center. Likewise, Jacobs, the rookie, gets the shot at all the volume in Jon Gruden’s retooled offense. His ability as a pass catcher is notable, and had folks looking past the lackluster collegiate production. Carson is the lead back in the NFC’s heaviest run team despite an early draft selection at running back a year prior. Freeman is completely healthy, behind an improved offensive line, with no more RBBC pressure, in one of the league’s best offenses. How long will the health remain on his side?

Round 4: Picks 37 through 48

Kenny Golladay (DET) WR17
Tyler Boyd (CIN) WR18
Calvin Ridley (ATL) WR19
Robert Woods (LAR) WR20
Tyler Lockett (SEA) WR21
Zach Ertz (PHI) TE3
Derrick Henry (TEN) RB19
Leonard Fournette (JAX) RB20
Miles Sanders (PHI) RB21
Chris Godwin (TB) WR22
David Montgomery (CHI) RB22
Cooper Kupp (LAR) WR23

     Golladay enjoyed a breakout of sorts last season, and is back for more as the locked-in WR1. Boyd should benefit from A.J. Green‘s absence, coming off his own breakout campaign and a new contract. Lockett also stands alone as Seattle’s WR1, and looks to continue his efficient relationship with stud quarterback Russell Wilson. The Titans rode Henry down the stretch and look to install that same game plan for 2019. Sanders will be the Eagles’ RB1 sooner vs. later. He’s been the most talented runner in camp throughout the summer. The Godwin rocket ship took off some time a month or two back and is still ascending, we’re told.

Round 5: Picks 49 through 60

Christian Kirk (ARI) WR24
D.J. Moore (CAR) WR25
Curtis Samuel (CAR) WR26
Robby Anderson (NYJ) WR27
O.J. Howard (TB) TE4
Hunter Henry (LAC) TE5
Deshaun Watson (HOU) QB1
Patrick Mahomes (KC) QB2
Alshon Jeffery (PHI) WR28
Mike Williams (LAC) WR29
Jarvis Landry (CLE) WR30
Allen Robinson (CHI) WR31

     We have highlighted this tier often, through written content and podcasts alike. It’s my favorite; a couple of possible league-winners are staring at you. You can splurge on early running backs knowing you have priority targets on Kirk, Moore, and Samuel in the mid-rounds. Howard and Henry can anchor your tight end spot(s); both are looking at breakout seasons. If you opt for quarterback early, here’s where you can roll with one in either Watson or Mahomes (not advised, but I get it). Landry should benefit from running across former college teammate and certified stud Odell Beckham Jr.

Round 6: Picks 61 through 72

Tevin Coleman (SF) RB23
Austin Ekeler (LAC) RB24
Aaron Rodgers (GB) QB3
Will Fuller (HOU) WR32
Sammy Watkins (KC) WR33
Josh Gordon (NE) WR34
Sterling Shepard (NYG) WR35
Dede Westbrook (JAX) WR36
Baker Mayfield (CLE) QB4
Mark Ingram (BAL) RB25
James White (NE) RB26
Sony Michel (NE) RB27

     Coleman has a grip on the RB1 spot in San Francisco. Ekeler rockets up this board when/if the Melvin Gordon deal doesn’t get done and/or drags out. Gordon, Super Bowl ring and all, was granted his reinstatement and rejoins Tom Brady, running as an upside WR2. Shepard gets to wear the WR1 hat post-Beckham. Westbrook is the Jaguars’ WR1, and a clear favorite of new signal-caller Nick Foles. White was a monster through the air last season out of the backfield — but Michel, early injury concerns aside, looks to be healthier through a few preseason contests and ready to have a bigger role.

Round 7: Picks 73 through 84

Evan Engram (NYG) TE6
Carson Wentz (PHI) QB5
Jared Cook (NO) TE7
Dion Lewis (TEN) RB28
Matt Ryan (ATL) QB6
Cam Newton (CAR) QB7
Melvin Gordon (LAC) RB29
Derrius Guice (WAS) RB30
Corey Davis (TEN) WR37
John Brown (BUF) WR38
A.J. Green (CIN) WR39
Marvin Jones (DET) WR40

     Wentz was getting early MVP-buzz; the Eagles offense remains loaded. Lewis is backing up Henry, and carries standalone value given his ability as a receiver. Newton looked like a screaming value through the offseason (going around the QB10 range), but recently tweaked his foot in the third preseason matchup. Monitor and adjust accordingly. Brown looks like a perfect pairing for Bills passer Josh Allen. Green, another early value, is on the mend as previously noted.

Round 8: Picks 85 through 96

Kyler Murray (ARI) QB8
Lamar Jackson (BAL) QB9
Phillip Lindsay (DEN) RB31
Justice Hill (BAL) RB32
Lamar Miller (HOU) RB33
DeSean Jackson (PHI) WR41
Courtland Sutton (DEN) WR42
Marquez Valdes-Scantling (GB) WR43
Donte Moncrief (PIT) WR44
Jamison Crowder (NYJ) WR45
Michael Gallup (DAL) WR46
James Washington (PIT) WR47

     It is hard not to like Murray, coming off his ridiculous Heisman-winning season and landing in Arizona’s new offense — one which looks to pace the league in number of plays run. Similarly, Jackson offers an ultra-safe floor-ceiling combination given his ability as a runner. Jackson’s teammate and rookie runner Hill looks like a league-winner, and one that should see his workload steadily tick-up as the season progresses. Valdes-Scantling and Moncrief are my bets for WR2-type roles in their respective offenses (although Washington has looked sharp throughout the preseason).

Round 9: Picks 97 through 108

Drew Brees NO QB10
Russell Wilson SEA QB11
Dak Prescott DAL QB12
Kenyan Drake MIA RB34
Darrell Henderson LAR RB35
Larry Fitzgerald ARI WR48
Dante Pettis SF WR49
Geronimo Allison GB WR50
Vance McDonald PIT TE8
Matt Breida SF RB36
Jameis Winston TB QB13
Ben Roethlisberger PIT QB14

     More quarterbacks are rising to the surface now in this tier. Choose your favorite, but I’d keep waiting myself if I wasn’t invested at this point. Drake was spotted in a walking boot earlier in camp, which he recently shed. Not sure if he left the door open long enough for some competition? Henderson’s ADP got very wonky very quickly but should’ve settled back down at this point. Clear league-winner material if things go off the rails with Gurley. Allison has locked down the slot role for Green Bay. McDonald “won’t see extra snaps,” but I’m comfortable betting on his familiarity with the offense at this point in the draft.

Round 10: picks 109 through 120

Jared Goff (LAR) QB15
Tom Brady (NE) QB16
Tyrell Williams (OAK) WR51
Miles Boykin (BAL) WR52
Darwin Thompson (KC) RB37
LeSean McCoy (BUF) RB38
Duke Johnson (HOU) RB39
Latavius Murray (NO) RB40
Nyheim Hines (IND) RB41
Tarik Cohen (CHI) RB42
Emmanuel Sanders (DEN) WR53
Delanie Walker (TEN) TE9

     Brady should be on the rise (so fitting) as he returns Gordon and gets Edelman and Thomas back off the NFI and PUP lists respectively. Boykin is a special athlete who looks to have seized an early role already. Thompson is all the rage, and the early preseason highlights provide insight as to why. He’s smaller, and not lead-back material, but he’s a satellite back-plus in Andy Reid’s system. Easy buy. Johnson is finally #free, and the landing spot looks pretty beautiful to me. Sanders, somehow, is defying the odds and looks to be ready to ball Week 1 despite tearing an Achilles what feels like three weeks ago.

Round 11: Picks 121 through 132

Austin Hooper (ATL) TE10
Mark Andrews (BAL) TE11
David Njoku (CLE) TE12
Eric Ebron (IND) TE13
Keke Coutee (HOU) WR54
Jaylen Samuels (PIT) RB43
Rashaad Penny (SEA) RB44
Tony Pollard (DAL) RB45
Jordan Reed (WAS) TE14
DaeSean Hamilton (DEN) WR55
Mecole Hardman (KC) WR56
Albert Wilson (MIA) WR57

     Andrews has been the favorite target of his rising (we hope) quarterback throughout the summer. Coutee adds an elite dimension to the Houston offense, assuming health and availability stay on his side. Samuels may offer some standalone value, but his ceiling is completely crippled and nonexistent with Conner in front of him. Pollard does a lot of the same things as the Pittsburgh backup, as far as his versatility and ability as a pass-catcher goes. He should get his touches weekly, but I have him lower down on the list in the grand scheme, given Elliott’s likely return.

Round 12: Picks 133 through 144

Anthony Miller (CHI) WR58
Deebo Samuel (SF) WR59
DeVante Parker (MIA) WR60
Trey Quinn (WAS) WR61
Kirk Cousins (MIN) QB17
Jimmy Garoppolo (SF) QB18
Philip Rivers (LAC) QB19
Kalen Ballage (MIA) RB46
Peyton Barber (TB) RB47
Golden Tate (NYG) WR62
Marquise Goodwin (SF) WR63
Chris Herndon (NYJ) TE15

     Samuel has put the pressure on his fellow wideouts, and could command a surprising share of work during his rookie season. Every year is Parker’s year. My body remains ready. Quinn looks to capitalize on the easy and voluminous slot work. Barber is the de facto RB1 in Tampa Bay until further notice. Herndon got slapped with an early-season suspension but when he’s on the field, he’s flashed some difference-making traits.

round 13: picks 145 thru 156

Andrew Luck (IND) QB20
Jordan Howard (PHI) RB48
Royce Freeman (DEN) RB49
Damien Harris (NE) RB50
Chris Thompson (WAS) RB51
Justin Jackson (LAC) RB52
Kareem Hunt (CLE) RB53
Adrian Peterson (WAS) RB54
Kenny Stills (MIA) WR64
Devin Funchess (IND) WR65
D.J. Chark (JAX) WR66
D.K. Metcalf (SEA) WR67

     Luck is hurt, again, to some extent, and I’m terrified. I do not trust the Colts to be honest with us, so proceed as you see fit. Freeman looks to still be fighting his way up the Broncos’ depth chart. Harris looked like he was ready to carve out a role early himself, but has since been quiet and almost faded away. Thompson is an elite receiving back, and plays well in space, but hasn’t been able to stay on the field. Jackson is the RB3, but could see RB2-type work if Gordon sits out. Hunt is back after the halfway point of the season. Peterson has to slow down at some point during his career, right?

Round 14: Picks 157 through 168

Josh Allen (BUF) QB21
Sam Darnold (NYJ) QB22
Derek Carr (OAK) QB23
Greg Olsen (CAR) TE16
Kyle Rudolph (MIN) TE17
Marquise Brown (BAL) WR68
Adam Humphries (TEN) WR69
N’Keal Harry (NE) WR70
Parris Campbell (IND) WR71
Nelson Agholor (PHI) WR72
Mohamed Sanu (ATL) WR73
A.J. Brown (TEN) WR74

     Allen’s a questionable real-life quarterback in a questionable offense but offers some serious fantasy benefits with his feet and bazooka arm. Carr should outplay this draft position, given the new faces that surround him. Brown’s been hurt for most, if not all, of camp. Harry drops down with Gordon’s return, Edelman’s finger trending up, and Thomas hanging around off the PUP. Campbell, always a favorite, was a WR3-at-best with Luck healthy. Now, if the Colts’  starting quarterback misses time, it could get ugly.

Round 15: Picks 169 through 180

Tre’Quan Smith (NO) WR75
Quincy Enunwa (NYJ) WR76
Ted Ginn (NO) WR77
Andy Dalton (CIN) QB24
Matthew Stafford (DET) QB25
Mitchell Trubisky (CHI) QB26
Giovani Bernard (CIN) RB55
Ronald Jones (TB) RB56
Chase Edmonds (ARI) RB57
T.J. Hockenson (DET) TE18
Jimmy Graham (GB) TE19
Trey Burton (CHI) TE20

     Smith was a promising rookie who still clearly has talent, but the Saints’ offense remains loaded so the breakthrough stays on hold. Dalton was a favorite late-round target, and still is, having the arsenal to outplay his draft slot (Green’s injury and the offensive line concerns do cap things, unfortunately). Jones was given the chance to secure the backfield volume. Turns out he may just not be very good at all. Edmonds will get his weekly touches as he looks to sub in for Johnson given the Cardinals’ projected blistering pace. Hockenson is a rookie tight end, albeit with draft capital, but we know how that transition generally goes.

Round 16: Picks 181 through 191

Marcus Mariota (TEN) QB27
Noah Fant (DEN) TE21
Darren Waller (OAK) TE22
Tyler Eifert (CIN) TE23
Dallas Goedert (PHI) TE24
Gerald Everett (LAR) TE25
Ty Montgomery (NYJ) RB58
Ryquell Armstead (JAX) RB59
Preston Williams (MIA) WR78
Jalen Hurd (SF) WR79
Cole Beasley (BUF) WR80

     Montgomery will spell Le’Veon Bell and factor in notably through the passing game. Though Williams was talented enough to be drafted, the testing ultimately sealed his fate, but he’s made good so far early this year when given chances and looks to make a push for a 53-man spot. Hurd’s versatility is enticing, especially given the scheme.

Round 17: Picks 192 through 200 (Plus 3 Bonus Picks!)

Taylor Gabriel (CHI) WR81
Zay Jones (BUF) WR82
Randall Cobb (DAL) WR83
Willie Snead (BAL) WR84
Paul Richardson (WAS) WR85
Will Dissly (SEA) TE26
Jordan Thomas (HOU) TE27
Mike Gesicki (MIA) TE28
Jalen Richard (OAK) RB60
Jerick McKinnon (SF) RB61
Ty Johnson (DET) RB62
Jason Witten (DAL) TE29

     Believe in Gesicki’s rare athletic ability. That is all.

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